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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Bigggggggg | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3296, n=7817) | 20% (1328–5375, n=6703) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 48% (14128–15613, n=29741) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $566K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #106 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 54% (128 of 235 open) | 73% (81 of 111 open) | 64% (28 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Economy −5 pts, n=109 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 66% of 3822 at avg 64¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 30% (won 7% of 1163) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 5% (won 43% of 182) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 5% (won 68% of 179) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 60% (won 97% of 2298) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Bigggggggg | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche | Luca Van Assche $20K | — | — | Lorenzo Musetti $34K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $51K | No $13 | — | — |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $475 | — | — | No $4.3K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $105 | No $615 | — | — |
| Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | No $173 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $37 | No $14 | — | — |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $9 | Yes $64K | — |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.9K | — | — | Over $3.0K |
| Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? same side · consensus No | — | No $10 | No $2.0K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $46 | No $358 | — |