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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCornerGamingFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)45% (573–710, n=1283)38% (8–13, n=21)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$7.9M-$28K$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #3was PM monthly #611PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensus72% (18 of 25 open)81% (25 of 31 open)no open consensus position81% (260 of 321 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 4 at avg 48¢, ROI +45%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)0%29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)25% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)75% (won 100% of 3)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)0%39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCornerGamingFlaznorp
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $23K——No $45K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $56K——
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12K——Under $3.4K
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $321——Yes $7.8K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $225K——Yes $67K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $96K——No $64K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43K——No $62K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.2KRavens $96K——
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K——Yes $58K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.6K——Over $7.5K
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $311——No $10K
Will AZ vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $99——No $9.7K
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43——No $8.2K
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $49——No $7.4K
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $25——PFK CSKA Sofia $2.9K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Under $1.3K