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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpVale54holi
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3354, n=7827)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)45% (264–329, n=593)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$11.2M$3.3M$34K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #115
Sides with the consensus71% (17 of 24 open)57% (12 of 21 open)62% (235 of 382 open)63% (25 of 40 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Mentions −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)61% (won 1% of 161)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)3% (won 14% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)4% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)32% (won 96% of 85)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpVale54holi
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $265KNo $642KNo $113K—
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Fenerbahçe SK
Liverpool FC $4.4K—Fenerbahçe SK $20K—
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $436—Bucks $251—
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $268K—No $144K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $24K—Over $36K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev
same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev $31K—Daniil Medvedev $5.5K—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K—No $15K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18K—Over $7.2K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $155—Under $8.6K—
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $5.4K—Laura Samson $2.5K—
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $727—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $251—Under $40—