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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankGC-PRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)45% (573–710, n=1283)82% (5571–1216, n=6787)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$7.9M$148K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #65PM monthly #3PM monthly #532PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (18 of 26 open)78% (25 of 32 open)65% (35 of 54 open)56% (31 of 55 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 4271 at avg 67¢, ROI +29%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)6% (won 99% of 259)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)21% (won 100% of 895)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)22% (won 100% of 954)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)51% (won 100% of 2163)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankGC-PRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.2KRavens $115KJaguars $841—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $87KJaguars $223—
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $81KJaguars $1.5K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $51K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $1.8K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $643No $2.5K
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $11
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $78Under $263—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45No $72K——
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $2.4K——Alice Tubello $17K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K——
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.6KNo $145
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Warriors $152Warriors $109
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
same side · consensus James Kent Trotter
——James Kent Trotter $23James Kent Trotter $112