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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | morito181 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3354, n=7827) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 69% (532–242, n=774) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $11.2M | $5.6M | $1.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #118 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (17 of 25 open) | 57% (12 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 81% (151 of 186 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 22% (won 6% of 202) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 43% of 49) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 6% (won 53% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 67% (won 96% of 612) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | morito181 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $440K | — | Yes $21K |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $415K | No $642K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | — | — | Yes $1.8K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | No $192 | — | — | No $183 |