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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | mildwindow27 | RememberAmalek | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–38, n=75) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 100% (4–0, n=4) | 50% (1–1, n=2) |
| Consensus PnL | -$381K | $779K | $8 | $5.0K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #473 | PM monthly #146 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 91% (172 of 189 open) | 0% (0 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Elections ±0 pts, n=392 | Crypto −1 pts, n=10 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 40% of 964 at avg 42¢, ROI +1% | 61% of 525 at avg 50¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 57% (won 1% of 546) | 37% (won 10% of 193) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 2% (won 59% of 22) | 13% (won 67% of 66) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 4% (won 59% of 37) | 14% (won 88% of 74) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 37% (won 97% of 359) | 37% (won 99% of 192) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | mildwindow27 | RememberAmalek |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $477 | Yes $305 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $336 | — | — | Yes $12 |