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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Crypto-Joe | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4518–3290, n=7808) | 64% (91–52, n=143) | 63% (987–572, n=1559) | 47% (14055–15545, n=29600) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.7K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #881 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (13 of 19 open) | 83% (19 of 23 open) | 75% (101 of 135 open) | 59% (19 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Geopolitics −17 pts, n=19 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 72% of 97 at avg 62¢, ROI +10% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 18% of 11) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 20% (won 47% of 19) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 27% (won 81% of 26) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 42% (won 93% of 41) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Crypto-Joe | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $56 | Yes $14K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $135 | No $1.7K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $48 | No $240 | — | — |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? same side · consensus No | No $160K | No $1.5K | — | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Tommy Paul | Tommy Paul $68K | — | — | Tommy Paul $31K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $51K | Yes $682 | — | — |