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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpFvalpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)48% (62–68, n=130)75% (739–246, n=985)no settled market44% (193–242, n=435)
Consensus PnL-$290K$69K$0$17K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #177PM monthly #45
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)66% (69 of 105 open)100% (1 of 1 open)79% (11 of 14 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%85% of 66 at avg 67¢, ROI +21%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)5% (won 100% of 3)5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)15% (won 60% of 10)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)30% (won 75% of 20)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)50% (won 97% of 33)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpFvalpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $958—Casper Ruud $5.2K
Will France win on 2026-11-12?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4.4KYes $837—
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Tiago Pereira
—Kilian Feldbausch $568—Tiago Pereira $3.3K
Monastir: Jay Clarke vs Pedro Vives Marcos
opposite sides · consensus Pedro Vives Marcos
—Pedro Vives Marcos $3.3K—Jay Clarke $154
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3K—Elina Svitolina $447
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier
opposite sides · consensus Daniel Altmaier
—Buvaysar Gadamauri $441—Daniel Altmaier $459
W35 Heraklion: Anna Petkovic vs Tina Nadine Smith
opposite sides · consensus Tina Nadine Smith
—Anna Petkovic $279—Tina Nadine Smith $449
Monastir: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Luka Mikrut
opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut
—Eliakim Coulibaly $85—Luka Mikrut $62
BNP Paribas Nordic Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Arends/Johnson
same side · consensus Pavlasek/Rikl
—Pavlasek/Rikl $2.5K—Pavlasek/Rikl $1.9K