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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpwaierma
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)75% (80–26, n=106)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.5M$28K
Tracked asPM monthly #54PM monthly #21PM monthly #841
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)74% (234 of 316 open)69% (11 of 16 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%83% of 54 at avg 72¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)11% (won 50% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)7% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)11% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)70% (won 95% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpwaierma
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200KYes $40KYes $10
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $13KUnder $3.1K—
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $13KYes $10
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $2.7KCasper Ruud $8.2K—
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.2KYes $10
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Kimmer Coppejans $81Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $3.5K—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $530Over $211—
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $407Yes $10
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $270Yes $10
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $218—Yes $10
Will AZ vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $98—Yes $10
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $128KYes $28K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $93KNo $49K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44KNo $47K—
Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $33KYes $9
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.0KYes $10
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $38No $3.1K—
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $17PFK CSKA Sofia $1.8K—
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.6KYes $10
Will K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $134Yes $15