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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | RN1 | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (67–71, n=138) | 55% (201–167, n=368) | 66% (484–245, n=729) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$415K | $227K | -$157K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #46 + pinned | PM monthly #863 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (8 of 14 open) | 68% (78 of 114 open) | 68% (13 of 19 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 12) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 13% (won 100% of 26) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 30% (won 100% of 62) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 51% (won 100% of 106) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | RN1 | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Magic | Jazz $3.5K | Magic $6.3K | — | — |
| Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. UC Davis Aggies opposite sides · consensus UC Davis Aggies | — | UC Davis Aggies $392 | Incarnate Word Cardinals $21 | — |
| Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur same side · consensus Zsombor Piros | Zsombor Piros $6.2K | — | Zsombor Piros $57K | — |
| Sopo: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Julia Grabher same side · consensus Irene Burillo Escorihuela | Irene Burillo Escorihuela $10K | — | Irene Burillo Escorihuela $1.4K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | Vikings $5.6K | — | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud same side · consensus Casper Ruud | Alexander Shevchenko $90 | — | Alexander Shevchenko $4.4K | — |
| Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green | Dartmouth Big Green $3.0K | — | Dartmouth Big Green $803 | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $192 | Thunder $2.5K | — | — |
| Spread: UC Davis Aggies (-11.5) same side · consensus Incarnate Word Cardinals | — | UC Davis Aggies $71 | UC Davis Aggies $53 | — |
| Spread: Dartmouth Big Green (-2.5) same side · consensus Albany Great Danes | — | Dartmouth Big Green $8 | Dartmouth Big Green $6 | — |