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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465JokerTheClownRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)78% (2358–675, n=3033)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$205K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #200PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (16 of 25 open)63% (5 of 8 open)56% (44 of 79 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Crypto ±0 pts, n=102—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%80% of 622 at avg 60¢, ROI +25%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)14% (won 39% of 85)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)19% (won 68% of 117)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)28% (won 85% of 172)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)40% (won 97% of 248)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465JokerTheClownRN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $43K—Jaguars $21K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $26K—Jaguars $1.5K
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $1.8K—Florida Atlantic $736
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $500—Suns $1.6K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $266—Warriors $510
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15K—Ravens $2.8K
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $27Yes $139—