← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | VictorLudorum | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | no settled market | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (4798–4251, n=9049) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | — | $9.4M | $103K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #171 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (11 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (11 of 20 open) | 78% (45 of 58 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | Elections −1 pts, n=1210 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 67% of 5058 at avg 67¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 28% (won 2% of 1396) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 4% (won 34% of 186) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 5% (won 59% of 230) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 64% (won 97% of 3246) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | VictorLudorum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $49K | — | — | No $201 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $214 | — | — | No $2.4K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $258K | No $70 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $14K | — | — | No $4.7K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | No $202 | — | — | No $734 |