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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4BreakTheBankmorito181
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)no settled market46% (560–667, n=1227)69% (533–242, n=775)
Consensus PnL$8.9M—$9.4M$1.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344—PM monthly #2PM monthly #115 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (11 of 15 open)no open consensus position55% (11 of 20 open)81% (149 of 184 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——Mentions −13 pts, n=20
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—11% (won 80% of 61)22% (won 6% of 202)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—35% (won 98% of 203)5% (won 43% of 49)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—35% (won 100% of 201)6% (won 53% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—20% (won 100% of 115)67% (won 96% of 612)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4BreakTheBankmorito181
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $258KYes $21K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $49K——Yes $1.9K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
No $202——No $184