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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465cm2897Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)51% (1392–1329, n=2721)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$73K$3.3M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #359PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus52% (14 of 27 open)no open consensus position66% (313 of 471 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134College Football ±0 pts, n=922Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%50% of 1940 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)23% (won 7% of 450)29% (won 11% of 423)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)26% (won 41% of 508)16% (won 40% of 243)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)27% (won 61% of 528)17% (won 62% of 255)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)23% (won 90% of 454)38% (won 94% of 561)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465cm2897Flaznorp
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
Alexander Zverev $12K—Lorenzo Musetti $20K
Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff
opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff
Thiago Agustin Tirante $14K—Jan-Lennard Struff $10K
Bratislava 2: Martin Damm vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
Martin Damm $420—Tom Gentzsch $902
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $436—Bucks $251
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $270K—No $40K
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $267K—No $2.0K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $87K—No $101K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $25K—Over $17K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $16K—No $15K
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $4.8K—No $26K
Will PSV win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
No $315—No $19K
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
Laura Samson $4.3K—Laura Samson $2.2K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $160—Under $2.5K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248—Under $40