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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | cm2897 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 51% (1392–1329, n=2721) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $73K | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #363 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (11 of 17 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (146 of 230 open) | 61% (96 of 158 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | College Football ±0 pts, n=922 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 50% of 1940 at avg 50¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 23% (won 7% of 450) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 26% (won 41% of 508) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 27% (won 61% of 528) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 23% (won 90% of 454) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
37 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | cm2897 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $270K | — | No $40K | No $6.5K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $2.4K | — | Arthur Fils $5.6K | Arthur Fils $11K |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | — | Under $40 | Under $371 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $317 | No $2.6K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon | — | — | Maxwell McKennon $823 | Mauricio Echazu $1.0K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $486 | No $529 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $713 | Over $268 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $213 | No $677 |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $436 | — | Bucks $251 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | — | Wizards $220 | Hawks $426 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | — | Cavaliers $304 | Thunder $273 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | — | Pacers $215 | Grizzlies $118 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Suns $124 | Trail Blazers $98 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $123 | Over $86 |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | — | Hawks $31 | Wizards $89 |
| Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $267K | — | No $2.0K | — |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $25K | — | Over $17K | — |
| Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua same side · consensus Renata Zarazua | — | — | Renata Zarazua $3.0K | Renata Zarazua $18K |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9.3K | Under $7.5K |
| Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Justin Boulais same side · consensus Justin Boulais | — | — | Marcos Giron $3.2K | Marcos Giron $13K |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $14K | Yes $378 |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $13K | Yes $104 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $6.2K | No $3.4K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $7.5K | Under $1.4K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $160 | — | Under $2.5K | — |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt same side · consensus Max Wiskandt | — | — | Hiroki Sakagawa $994 | Hiroki Sakagawa $706 |
| Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.3K | No $257 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5 | Over $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $42 | No $1.3K |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Jordan Lee same side · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek | — | — | Filip Jeff Planinsek $26 | Filip Jeff Planinsek $1.3K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Under $75 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $101 | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | — | 76ers $776 | 76ers $240 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $713 | Yes $250 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $720 | Over $165 |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | — | — | Solana Sierra $286 | Solana Sierra $476 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $720 | Under $20 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | — | Raptors $383 | Raptors $124 |
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $172 | Under $120 |
| FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $239 | Under $46 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $194 | — | — | Over $81 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) same side · consensus Rockets | — | — | Timberwolves $122 | Timberwolves $126 |
| Spread: Hawks (-1.5) same side · consensus Wizards | — | — | Wizards $215 | Wizards $21 |