← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | denizz | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | yong32 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (38–40, n=78) | no settled market | 42% (124–169, n=293) | 0% (0–1, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $0 | $172K | $12K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #153 | PM monthly #35 | PM monthly #261 |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (5 of 11 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 74% (28 of 38 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 75% of 4 at avg 55¢, ROI −12% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 26% (won 6% of 63) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 25% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 12% (won 57% of 30) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 13% (won 66% of 32) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 50% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 49% (won 96% of 120) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 25% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | denizz | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | yong32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $52K | — | Jazz $17K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $19K | — | Under $742 | — |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Jessica Pegula | Jessica Pegula $19K | — | Jessica Pegula $28K | — |
| Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri same side · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $3.9K | — | Elmer Moeller $11K | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) same side · consensus Kent State | Kent State $192 | — | Kent State $1.2K | — |