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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | haveagoodday | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4512–3287, n=7799) | 38% (1562–2548, n=4110) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (20517–20341, n=40858) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $22K | $5.3M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #122 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (14 of 20 open) | 74% (286 of 388 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (41 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Elections −3 pts, n=555 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 32% (won 1% of 760) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 4% (won 42% of 101) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 7% (won 63% of 156) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 58% (won 96% of 1382) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | haveagoodday | joseph00677 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $51K | No $42 | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | — | No $15K |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $945 | No $995 | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $130 | No $1.1K | — | — |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus No | No $14K | No $26 | — | — |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $13K | No $418 | — | — |