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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677LightParadoxUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (967–959, n=1926)50% (20517–20341, n=40858)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$5.3M$21K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #69PM monthly #2PM monthly #491PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus70% (14 of 20 open)no open consensus position56% (15 of 27 open)67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 498 at avg 70¢, ROI +34%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 100% of 35)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 100% of 101)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)17% (won 100% of 86)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 100% of 276)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677LightParadoxUpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——No $15K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
opposite sides · consensus Xinyu Wang
Xinyu Wang $1.1K—Antonia Ruzic $55—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $28Yes $3
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $11Yes $2
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $10K—Over $28—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
——CD Pamplona $10CD Pamplona $6