Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677RN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3296, n=7817)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)60% (6545–4441, n=10986)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$5.3M$14.8M$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #485
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)no open consensus position55% (16 of 29 open)71% (35 of 49 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 2270 at avg 62¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)6% (won 91% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 97% of 468)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)34% (won 98% of 778)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)39% (won 100% of 879)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677RN1ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K——Under $33
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.5KYes $7
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $105——No $26
Taranto: Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Philip Henning
Philip Henning $1.6K—Philip Henning $8.0K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.3K——Over $183
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KOver $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KOver $5
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $37——Yes $66