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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465omnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3325, n=7861)50% (15546–15616, n=31162)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.1M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #139PM monthly #52PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (14 of 22 open)53% (87 of 164 open)no open consensus position61% (30 of 49 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)8% (won 61% of 889)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)21% (won 87% of 2410)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)38% (won 95% of 4354)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)33% (won 99% of 3754)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465omnibus-076daaprimmRN1
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4KYes $184——
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
—Kilian Feldbausch $268—Sumit Nagal $4.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Over $1.6K
Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $2.1K
Will FC UTA Arad win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.4K—Yes $229
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Spurs $1.4K—Kings $111
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $11—Under $1.3K
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $8—Ipek Oz $680
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
—Francesco Maestrelli $36—Carlo Alberto Caniato $304
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Aidan Mayo $48—Max Hans Rehberg $232
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $53KYes $2.4K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $20KLuca Van Assche $702——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $13KOver $37——
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.7K—Under $2
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $55Yes $242——
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28Yes $26——