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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmUpTheBluesWinning2...
Record (consensus markets)55% (4837–4036, n=8873)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)51% (28105–27112, n=55217)31% (1153–2513, n=3666)
Consensus PnL$8.1M$3.6M$1.4M-$39K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #52PM monthly #8PM monthly #570
Sides with the consensus44% (14 of 32 open)50% (2 of 4 open)64% (44 of 69 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
  • NHL +4 pts n=165, ROI 0%
  • Tennis +5 pts n=109, ROI +3%
  • NFL +7 pts n=70, ROI +2%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——Mentions −31 pts, n=20
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%31% of 3414 at avg 30¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 3291)53% (won 19% of 1795)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)41% (won 99% of 421)18% (won 100% of 9212)38% (won 39% of 1308)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)49% (won 99% of 508)20% (won 100% of 9904)8% (won 60% of 288)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)5% (won 100% of 47)56% (won 100% of 27970)1% (won 87% of 23)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmUpTheBluesWinning2...
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K—No $15K—
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Falcons $74KFalcons $9.9K——
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K——Yes $228