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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | gmpm2 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 50% (2–2, n=4) | 42% (124–173, n=297) | 68% (330–158, n=488) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | -$6.1K | $124K | -$104K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #27 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #38 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (11 of 11 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (35 of 49 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −28 pts, n=12 | NBA −2 pts, n=33 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 865 at avg 61¢, ROI +4% | 57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 16% of 100) | 6% (won 32% of 19) | 6% (won 100% of 9) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 43% of 217) | 29% (won 48% of 97) | 42% (won 100% of 63) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 56% of 237) | 45% (won 55% of 150) | 40% (won 100% of 61) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 94% of 311) | 21% (won 80% of 71) | 12% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x448861155279dbf833d041b963e3ac854599e319 | gmpm2 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knoxville: Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Kozlov opposite sides · consensus Stefan Kozlov | — | — | Stefan Kozlov $12K | Alexis Galarneau $1.5K |
| Florida Gators vs. Florida State Seminoles opposite sides · consensus Florida Gators | — | — | Florida State Seminoles $10 | Florida Gators $1.4K |
| W50 Chihuahua: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Sofia Johnson opposite sides · consensus Zuzanna Pawlikowska | — | — | Sofia Johnson $749 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska $302 |
| Spread: Western Michigan (-14.5) same side · consensus Western Michigan | Western Michigan $253 | — | Western Michigan $12K | — |
| Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios same side · consensus Tomas Barrios | — | — | Tomas Barrios $52 | Tomas Barrios $3.2K |