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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | Wldntulike2know | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (4–2, n=6) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 54% (208–178, n=386) | 56% (5–4, n=9) |
| Consensus PnL | $460K | $822K | $230K | $2.1K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #547 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (3 of 5 open) | 44% (7 of 16 open) | 66% (113 of 170 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 5 at avg 60¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 75% (won 100% of 3) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 60% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | Wldntulike2know |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Grizzlies $90K | Nuggets $5.1K | Nuggets $8.7K |
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Nets $260K | Pelicans $3.9K | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $163K | — | Under $37K | — |
| Rangers vs. Flames opposite sides · consensus Rangers | Rangers $181K | — | Flames $4.9K | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $35K | — | Under $5.0K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $10K | Nuggets $22K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $261 | Thunder $4.2K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $2 | Nuggets $37 | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $166K | Spurs $9.3K | — |
| Celtics vs. Raptors same side · consensus Celtics | Raptors $116K | Raptors $35K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $19K | — | Raptors $15K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $831 | Nets $5.2K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Grizzlies $279 | Grizzlies $764 | — |