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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241HomeRunHazardMadridTimeprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market55% (201–167, n=368)52% (202–184, n=386)53% (20–18, n=38)
Consensus PnL—$227K-$37K-$43K
Tracked as—PM monthly #8PM monthly #234PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (35 of 53 open)48% (25 of 52 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +57 pts n=44, ROI +56%
  • Soccer +37 pts n=23, ROI +29%
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI +46%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 1)6% (won 100% of 5)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 31)65% (won 100% of 57)35% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—57% (won 100% of 55)8% (won 100% of 7)55% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—10% (won 100% of 10)22% (won 100% of 19)5% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241HomeRunHazardMadridTimeprimm
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $1.8KWizards $149—
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $573Wizards $537—
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $394Over $310—
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $2.3KCavaliers $307—
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $1.7KBucks $246—
Lakers vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $169Bucks $62—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
—Cavaliers $36Cavaliers $25—