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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241cryingbabydicer87ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (6675–7564, n=14239)63% (988–572, n=1560)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL—$26K$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #699PM monthly #104PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (160 of 226 open)75% (100 of 133 open)55% (17 of 31 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Crypto −2 pts, n=3902NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won—51% of 4244 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—41% (won 8% of 1743)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—13% (won 39% of 571)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—8% (won 72% of 360)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—37% (won 96% of 1570)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241cryingbabydicer87ndb1RN1
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4Yes $64K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $24Yes $11K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $30No $335K—
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $43No $81K—
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $20No $42K—
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $20No $31K—
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $23No $30K—
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $40No $29K—
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $15No $25K—
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $10No $20K—
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $35No $12K—
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $28Yes $2.5K—
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
—No $8No $679—