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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)64% (1807–1013, n=2820)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL-$163K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #905PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)73% (73 of 100 open)54% (60 of 111 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won92% of 2142 at avg 77¢, ROI +11%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 49% of 207)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 82% of 148)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 90% of 202)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up74% (won 99% of 1585)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5E39013a1d7C4B502ad2Ea073d7e8A0469cA352C-1765309578276BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1K—No $26K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K—No $516—