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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)40% (1305–1944, n=3249)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6461–6057, n=12518)63% (993–578, n=1571)
Consensus PnL-$20K$7.9M$3.6M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #920PM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #95
Sides with the consensus22% (2 of 9 open)88% (22 of 25 open)71% (134 of 189 open)72% (52 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMentions −1 pts, n=17—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144
Settled positions, side won26% of 1266 at avg 22¢, ROI 0%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢71% (won 7% of 899)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 60% of 152)35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 147)35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 85% of 68)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3K—No $583—
76ers vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
76ers $10—Cavaliers $795—
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $21—No $536—
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $25—No $359—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $409K—No $337K