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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (1401–2823, n=4224) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 48% (19652–21409, n=41061) | 75% (2552–856, n=3408) |
| Consensus PnL | -$24K | $8.4M | $14.9M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #920 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #66 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (19 of 32 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 59% (16 of 27 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Mentions −1 pts, n=19 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 26% of 1304 at avg 23¢, ROI 0% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 71% (won 8% of 920) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 59% of 158) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 75% of 153) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 86% of 73) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $42 | — | — | No $2.4M |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | Yes $20K | — | — |