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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)40% (1291–1925, n=3216)63% (989–572, n=1561)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL-$21K$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #920PM monthly #106PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus35% (6 of 17 open)72% (68 of 95 open)61% (84 of 137 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicMentions −1 pts, n=17NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won26% of 1255 at avg 22¢, ROI 0%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢71% (won 7% of 891)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 60% of 149)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 147)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 85% of 68)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7ndb1RN1
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $703—No $2.4K
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3—Under $211
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1Yes $1.0M—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3—Yes $13K