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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)40% (1291–1921, n=3212)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)63% (990–573, n=1563)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL-$21K$3.5M$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #920PM monthly #24PM monthly #106PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus31% (5 of 16 open)68% (223 of 327 open)74% (81 of 110 open)63% (31 of 49 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMentions −1 pts, n=17Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won26% of 1255 at avg 22¢, ROI 0%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢71% (won 7% of 891)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 60% of 149)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 147)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 85% of 68)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7Flaznorpndb1RN1
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4Under $802—Under $35
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3Under $17K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
—Greet Minnen $542—Lisa Pigato $142
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10No $597——
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20No $558——
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $15No $359——
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $23—Ivan Gakhov $225
Villa Maria: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Murkel Dellien
opposite sides · consensus Juan Pablo Ficovich
—Murkel Dellien $83—Juan Pablo Ficovich $37
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
—Cadence Brace $58—Jo-Yee Chan $36
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus GamerLegion
Yellow Submarine $10GamerLegion $70——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $29
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3Under $19——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16K—Yes $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.2K—Under $8.9K
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
—Nuno Borges $6.0K—Nuno Borges $8.6K
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.6K—Yes $10K
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $4.5K—No $5.2K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.0K—Under $2.4K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4K—No $4.3K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.5K—Over $3.0K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $349—Juan Bautista Torres $4.2K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
—Renata Zarazua $385—Renata Zarazua $602
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $33—Over $675
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $138—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42