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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)40% (1383–2070, n=3453)63% (1095–632, n=1727)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)
Consensus PnL-$20K$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #920PM monthly #111PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus59% (19 of 32 open)71% (70 of 98 open)70% (7 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicMentions −1 pts, n=17NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won26% of 1268 at avg 22¢, ROI 0%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢71% (won 7% of 899)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 60% of 152)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 149)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 85% of 68)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7ndb1primm
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $8No $54K—
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $8No $14—
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $6No $85K—