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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7Flaznorpndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)40% (1296–1932, n=3228)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)63% (989–572, n=1561)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)
Consensus PnL-$21K$3.6M$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #920PM monthly #19PM monthly #105PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus40% (4 of 10 open)69% (125 of 182 open)68% (59 of 87 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMentions −1 pts, n=17Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won26% of 1255 at avg 22¢, ROI 0%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢71% (won 7% of 891)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 60% of 149)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 147)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 85% of 68)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7Flaznorpndb1primm
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $10No $597——
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20No $547——
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $15No $359——
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1—Yes $1.0M—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus UTSA
—Florida Atlantic $49—Florida Atlantic $1.4K