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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938beachboy4CORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)40% (1384–2115, n=3499)67% (43–21, n=64)61% (398–250, n=648)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL-$11K$6.1M$216K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #118was PM monthly #24PM monthly #96PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus61% (546 of 896 open)100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 2 open)63% (118 of 188 open)
Strongest topics
  • Economy +12 pts n=60, ROI −15%
  • Elections +6 pts n=188, ROI −15%
  • F1 +9 pts n=25, ROI −11%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=409NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won49% of 1687 at avg 48¢, ROI −24%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%99% of 401 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 4% of 402)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢44% (won 43% of 745)30% (won 57% of 63)56% (won 99% of 224)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 56% of 114)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 134)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 98% of 426)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938beachboy4CORGIIRN1
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2Yes $4.1K——