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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107sainttroplayBreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)48% (2151–2335, n=4486)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$78K$4.4M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #405was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus29% (38 of 133 open)no open consensus position70% (57 of 82 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +3 pts n=1115, ROI +1%
  • NBA +10 pts n=68, ROI +19%
  • MLB +2 pts n=444, ROI −3%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won61% of 3062 at avg 58¢, ROI +1%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢39% (won 5% of 1196)0%10% (won 85% of 53)0%
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 61% of 23)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)0%
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 53% of 15)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 98% of 1828)0%20% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107sainttroplayBreakTheBank00gringo00
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $74—Yes $274K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.2K—No $253K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14K—Yes $172K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $227—No $40K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $476—Yes $28K—
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4—Yes $21K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3.3K—No $202K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.9K—Yes $85K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19—Yes $17K—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $11—No $16K—