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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 88% (593–78, n=671) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $142K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #368 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 95% (56 of 59 open) | 58% (58 of 100 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (8 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=124 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 701 at avg 88¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 14% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 43% of 23) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 45% of 31) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 87% (won 96% of 611) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x8B4bcA1D794779E66e023D44391B2A86C5ab541B-1769764313952 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $863 | — | Under $69 |
| Spread: Steelers (-6.5) same side · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $3.5K | — | Steelers $156 |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 56.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $726 | — | Under $1.9K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $668 | — | Over $1.1K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $809 | — | Ravens $464 |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $660 | — | Falcons $547 |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) same side · consensus Bills | — | Ravens $762 | — | Ravens $407 |