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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksBreakTheBankRN100gringo00
Record (consensus markets)52% (2506–2328, n=4834)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$1.1K$10.6M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #945PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)71% (73 of 103 open)66% (102 of 154 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1518 at avg 53¢, ROI +45%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 27)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 562)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)0%
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 100% of 783)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 100% of 146)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksBreakTheBankRN100gringo00
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Steelers $3.7KBrowns $255KSteelers $5.5K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $171KJets $192—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $11K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $400—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.9K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Titans vs. Bengals
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $46—Titans $1.3K—
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $187—Over $718—
Spread: Steelers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Browns $6—Steelers $211—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $2.3K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $35KCardinals $714—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $1.1K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $643—
Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $4—Over $1.7K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12—Over $1.1K—
Spread: Bengals (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $15—Titans $8—