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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x91c363acd95bb150d4fd28912737eaf6125b409fBreakTheBank00gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (537–650, n=1187)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (985–968, n=1953)
Consensus PnL—$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #229PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus70% (59 of 84 open)79% (57 of 72 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 85% of 53)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 192)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 187)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x91c363acd95bb150d4fd28912737eaf6125b409fBreakTheBank00gringo00primm
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $196No $250K——
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $8.2KNo $202K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $10KYes $170K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $43KYes $85K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1KNo $34K——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.9KYes $30K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $180Yes $22K——
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2Yes $270K——
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $924Yes $36K——