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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)87% (89–13, n=102)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)63% (989–572, n=1561)
Consensus PnL$99K$7.9M$3.5M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #311PM monthly #3PM monthly #22PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensus58% (19 of 33 open)81% (22 of 27 open)76% (191 of 251 open)72% (68 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won78% of 74 at avg 70¢, ROI +6%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 28% of 18)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 50% of 2)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 100% of 3)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up69% (won 96% of 51)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.9K—No $226—
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.7K—No $578—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K—No $443—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.0K—No $662—
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $534—No $340—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2—Yes $1.0M
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407K—No $335K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K—No $2.4K—