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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382beachboy4RN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)45% (8094–9862, n=17956)67% (43–21, n=64)47% (14225–15839, n=30064)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$61K$5.8M$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #790was PM monthly #24PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus55% (46 of 84 open)100% (2 of 2 open)58% (33 of 57 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won46% of 13139 at avg 45¢, ROI 0%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 16% of 3994)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 42% of 4476)30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5518)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 60% of 1929)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 87% of 2740)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382beachboy4RN1sainttroplay
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $32—Yes $3.9K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $568—No $2.5K—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $231—Yes $90—
Will Ratchaburi FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $106—No $25—
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Polina Iatcenko
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Polina Iatcenko $31—Anastasia Zakharova $55—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $69—Yes $7—
Taipei: Lloyd Harris vs Yosuke Watanuki
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
Yosuke Watanuki $19—Yosuke Watanuki $13K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $79—Over $2.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $37—Over $1.6K—
Chennai Open: Aliona Falei vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
Aliona Falei $256—Aliona Falei $954—
Rolex Paris Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Tomas Etcheverry
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Tomas Etcheverry $131—Tomas Etcheverry $831—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $11—No $660—
Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
No $223—No $159—
Will Daejeon Citizen FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $163—Yes $34—
Ratchaburi FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $23—Yes $26—