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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
Record (consensus markets)100% (37–0, n=37)75% (741–246, n=987)45% (196–244, n=440)53% (20–18, n=38)
Consensus PnL-$139$70K$6.7K-$43K
Tracked asPM monthly #30PM monthly #14PM monthly #46PM monthly #72
Sides with the consensus88% (319 of 362 open)67% (77 of 115 open)86% (12 of 14 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=13, ROI +49%
Weakest topicWeather −3 pts, n=29Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won83% of 101 at avg 81¢, ROI −26%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 12% of 17)34% (won 10% of 30)5% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 29% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)35% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 50% of 2)13% (won 55% of 11)50% (won 100% of 67)55% (won 100% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up80% (won 100% of 81)34% (won 83% of 30)7% (won 100% of 9)5% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighprimm
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $958Casper Ruud $5.2K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $367Lakers $3.3K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447—
W35 Heraklion: Anna Petkovic vs Tina Nadine Smith
opposite sides · consensus Anna Petkovic
—Anna Petkovic $609Tina Nadine Smith $2.0K—
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $548Lakers $655—
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
—Buvaysar Gadamauri $2.2KBuvaysar Gadamauri $3.4K—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-22?
same side · consensus No
No $2No $1.8K——
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-11-11?
same side · consensus No
No $453No $910——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $556No $706——