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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 34% (435–832, n=1267) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $119K | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #33 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (154 of 229 open) | 72% (28 of 39 open) | 59% (39 of 66 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=687 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 3904 at avg 59¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 3% of 1478) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 43% of 121) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 70% of 163) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 98% of 2142) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $11 | No $1.9M | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | No $239 | Yes $544K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $83 | Yes $324K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1 | No $7.0K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | No $281 | No $1.4M | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $189 | Yes $777K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $188 | No $94K | — |