← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 40% (150–226, n=376) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13855–15338, n=29193) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $107K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #300 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (24 of 56 open) | 88% (130 of 147 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 234 at avg 63¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 19% of 54) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 64% of 25) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 82% of 39) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 116) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $59K | No $292K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $27K | Yes $33K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.5K | No $114K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | Yes $83K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | Yes $67K | — | — |