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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 39% (147–226, n=373) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) |
| Consensus PnL | $92K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #300 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (39 of 75 open) | no open consensus position | 79% (57 of 72 open) | 48% (11 of 23 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 230 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 17% of 52) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 67% of 24) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 82% of 39) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 115) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $69K | — | No $622K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $25K | — | Yes $36K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $32K | Eagles $3.6K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $161K | Commanders $3.6K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $3.5K | — | No $112K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | — | Yes $83K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | — | Yes $81K | — |