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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 89% (49–6, n=55) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | -$52K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (13 of 14 open) | 61% (28 of 46 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=96 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 188 at avg 84¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 6% (won 8% of 12) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 40% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 56% of 18) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 81% (won 95% of 153) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xbe044D601FBe89c9E87eACFa57d813A31F783C60-1767997097941 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $10K | — | No $184K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | — | No $35K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K | — |