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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (203–109, n=312) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | $371K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #187 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) | 48% (11 of 23 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 371 at avg 55¢, ROI +12% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 19% of 104) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 43% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 76% of 46) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 94% of 158) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $20K | No $34K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $14K | Yes $36K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $32K | Eagles $3.6K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $161K | Commanders $3.6K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $442 | Yes $21K | — | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-3.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Eagles $3.7K | Eagles $1.0K |
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $644 | Over $527 |