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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (203–109, n=312) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (986–968, n=1954) |
| Consensus PnL | $371K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #187 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (38 of 50 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 371 at avg 55¢, ROI +12% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 19% of 104) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 43% of 63) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 76% of 46) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 94% of 158) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xc8b9a30184244d427169cf62485dde6041b2b836 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $20K | — | No $34K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $14K | — | Yes $36K | — |
| Spread: Commanders (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $44K | Eagles $1.3K |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | — | Commanders $188K | Commanders $1.3K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $427 | — | Yes $20K | — |