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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-175561244774000gringo00BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)57% (378–285, n=663)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL-$98K$3.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #661was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus73% (19 of 26 open)no open consensus position71% (73 of 103 open)59% (19 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +35 pts n=173, ROI +33%
  • NBA +35 pts n=74, ROI +34%
  • Soccer +29 pts n=106, ROI +18%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won89% of 483 at avg 60¢, ROI +24%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 21% of 24)0%10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 83% of 88)0%36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 94% of 239)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 98% of 132)0%20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-175561244774000gringo00BreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $51KRavens $696
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.5K—No $24K—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.9K—No $590—
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.9K—No $747—
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $503—Yes $28K—