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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)46% (280–330, n=610)63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)
Consensus PnL$2.4M$3.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #255PM monthly #90PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus62% (88 of 143 open)73% (53 of 73 open)64% (9 of 14 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won51% of 712 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢51% (won 6% of 361)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 62% of 21)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 96% of 25)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 99% of 305)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7ndb1primm
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $225No $488K—
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $55KNo $87K—
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $26KNo $84K—
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $9.7KNo $42K—
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $22KNo $29K—
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $864No $20K—
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $20KNo $678—