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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7 | ndb1 | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (284–338, n=622) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 50% (20605–20391, n=40996) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4M | $4.8M | $3.6M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #214 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (78 of 121 open) | 71% (52 of 73 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 69% (31 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 714 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 51% (won 6% of 363) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 62% of 21) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 96% of 25) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 99% of 305) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7 | ndb1 | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.4K | No $523K | — | — |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $56K | No $87K | — | — |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $26K | No $84K | — | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $9.7K | No $42K | — | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $22K | No $29K | — | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $864 | No $20K | — | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $20K | No $678 | — | — |