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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1beachboy4joseph006770xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CORGII
| 38791873984189 | BreakTheBank | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (5772–6954, n=12726) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 52% (273–252, n=525) |
| Consensus PnL | $27K | $10.6M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #943 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 49% (67 of 136 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=391 | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1801 at avg 45¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 7% of 326) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 20% (won 12% of 109) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 64% (won 48% of 1149) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 21% (won 46% of 114) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 64% of 162) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 60% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 9% (won 90% of 164) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 26% (won 82% of 137) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 38791873984189 | BreakTheBank | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.1K | No $253K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.9K | Yes $18K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $241 | Yes $274K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $358 | No $114K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $425 | Yes $83K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $302 | Yes $31K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $1.2K | No $30K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $829 | Yes $29K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $476 | No $25K | — |